"Personally, I see it as a civil war within Ukraine itself, where citizens of the same country are fighting. Is there interference there? Probably there is. Is there any support from Russia? I guess there's probably some kind of trade going on there? I don't know, but I guess there is."
These are the words of Belarusian opposition's Valery Tsepkalo, who first "fled" to Moscow, then moved to Kyiv, and then to Poland where as soon as Svetlana Tikhanovskaya stepped down as "opposition leader" he put on the opposition crown on himself. Or, to be more precise, someone else has put it on him.
It was those whom Tsepkalo cowardly fails to call out as a party to the conflict in Donbas, let alone aggressors or invaders, God forbid. This is the face of the opposition, which hybrid puppeteers are bringing to power in Belarus through bloodshed and suffering of ordinary Belarusians. This is exactly the opposition that does not recognize Russian occupation of Crimea and brands the war in Donbas a "civil war". And it will be brought to power by those who support these puppets from outside Belarus, while strumming the strings of European and democratic values so that the West swallows the bait for sure and sails along the stream set by Moscow.
Yesterday I wrote that in the near future, most likely this Friday night and throughout the weekend, some "unidentified" snipers will open fire or other violent provocations will occur in Minsk and other Belarusian cities closer to the Belarusian-Russian border, thus launching a scenario so sadly familiar to all Ukrainians. Too many of my predictions have come true, but this is exactly the case when I'd like to be wrong. The course of recent developments, however, over the last few hours suggests the opposite... The Kremlin doesn't want to lose pace it needs so much and allow the West to grasp the essence of its game.
Yesterday, on August 13, Russian foreign ministry spox Maria Zakharova said: "We are concerned about the incoming reports about incidents related to violation of public order on the streets of a number of Belarusian cities".
"There are clear attempts of external interference in the affairs of a sovereign state in order to split society and destabilize the situation," she added, emphasizing that any "attempts to find a so-called certain Russian trace behind the unrest in the country are groundless."
Against the background of Zakharova's statement, we can clearly see how Russian security agencies are planting in the information field an idea of a "western meddling plot": Tsepkalo is setting up some kind of resistance front from Poland, Tikhanovskaya is now in Lithuania, most content, including video, on Belarus protests is being generated by Poland-based platforms, only to be later shared by a swarm of Russian resources, and so on and so forth...
Taking into account the fact that there is a Russian trace is just too obvious in many things – ranging from the country's pro-Russian opposition, completely controlled by Russian handlers, to provocateurs in the streets of Belarusian cities… Let's not forget about those so-called mercenaries with the PMC "Wagner" (or rather say a motley crew of all kinds of various Russian GRU-controlled PMCs' members) who are still at large and whom media for some reason leave out of their Belarus unrest coverage. Therefore, Zakharova's statement came as no surprise. Russia is distancing itself from the Belarusian protests by shifting blame onto the collective West, while managing those very protests and plotting an ultimate collapse.
This collapse will differ in scale from all previous protest actions, in terms of the number of provocations and bloodshed. Why now? Because today a delegation of EU officials is expected to arrive in Minsk to see for themselves the situation on the ground before reporting back to Brussels. That is why, it's on Friday night, as much more Belarusians can afford taking to streets than on weekdays, when those who have been sowing chaos throughout the week could be employed to their full potential.
After all, it was no accident that the TOP speaking head of Russian propaganda, Major General Margarita Simonyan, had to wake up in the middle of the night after being ordered to send a message via her Telegram channel: "Actually, it's time for polite people to put things back in order, of course. The way they can." (here "polite people" refers to "little green men" – Russian regular troops without insignia who took over Crimea at the onset of Russian occupation)
This weekend is key for Russia in the implementation of the Belarus Anschluss project. And many should take off their rose-colored glasses, smeared with pretentious democracy, freedom, and justice and realize that the supporters of all these ideals and virtues at the same time contribute to the creation of yet another metastasis of the "Russian World" on the European bridgehead.
"Errare humanum est sed perseverare diabolicum" – all humans make mistakes, but it's the devil who doesn't recognize them.